ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, POLITICS & PREDICTIVE AI
I’m going to make this a fast article, as a result of it’s a race in opposition to time. The UK election is in a number of hours, and I needed to make use of my AI election predictor GPT to rapidly get an estimate in. I’m leaving it to the final minute as my present speculation is that there’s a “reactivity window”, which implies the modelling will get extra correct the nearer it involves the occasion. That is partly as a result of the mannequin can’t make allowances for unexpected circumstances or exterior elements. It could’t inform the longer term, foolish! However what it might do is give us probably the most procedurally possible narrative of how folks would possibly converge.
Right here’s a quick recap of the prompting methodology I’ve been utilizing to foretell the end result of collectively decided dynamic occasions, with mixed however promising success, and the theoretical background supporting it.
Mainly, researchers at Baylor discovered they may use the hallucinatory tendency of AI as “A characteristic, not a bug”. By asking it to strategy occasions from a hypothetical future perspective, as a story, they discovered they may encourage AI to precisely predict occasions just like the Oscar awards.
The projections are primarily based on collective perception, successfully utilizing AI to crowdsource probably the most possible consequence of socially decided occasions, simulating the ‘knowledge of crowds’, the place a various group’s combination…